Sunday, July 1, 2012

Conflicting forecasts for next two days

On Saturday, Skymet, a private weather forecast company, predicted heavy rains starting Sunday night till July 3. The company has forecast that the rainfall will exceed 100mm over the two days.
However, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) maintained that the city will witness only a “few spells of rain” in the next 48 hours and that the monsoon would revive only around July 3 or July 4.
According to the civic body, the high tide in the sea will cross the 4.5m danger mark on July 3, 4, 5 and 6. Heavy rain with high tide can lead to flooding.
According to Skymet, the “monsoon is coming back to life” in the city owing to the weakening of a competing tropical storm (Doksuri) in the south-east China Sea allowing monsoon currents to strengthen both in the Arabian Sea and the Bay of Bengal. “For Mumbai, stronger currents from Saturday night are going to result in rainfall with one or two heavy spells. On an average, there are six heavy rainfall days in the monsoon season in Mumbai. The next of whole week will be wet,” said Jatin Singh, chief executive officer, Skymet.
Skymet has weather stations at Charkop (Kandivli) and Vikhroli and a website – www.mumbairain.com - with location-specific 24-hour information on temperature and rainfall. “Though the trough from northern Maharashtra to Kerala still exists, it is still weak. The westerly and south-westerly winds over the Arabian Sea are also weak and there is no formation of a monsoon system in the Bay of Bengal,” said VK Rajeev, director, western region, IMD.
On Saturday, the city witnessed a few spells of rain with the suburbs recording more rain (7.2mm) compared to south Mumbai (1mm).

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